Confronting Challenges in Foresight: Deciphering the Intricate Relationship between CPA and Strategy in Higher Education Institutions
Keywords:
Institutional Evaluation. Strategic Anticipation. Higher EducationAbstract
The intersection between institutional evaluation and strategy is an underexplored field in scientific literature, characterized by the lack of studies deeply investigating this relationship. This article aims to fill this gap, identifying the critical variables that restrict the participation of the Self-Assessment Commissions (CPAs) in the strategic anticipation process in higher education institutions. The literature review covers the main authors who discuss the practice of foresight and those who analyze the relationship between evaluation and strategic planning in academic environments. Using a mixed-methods approach, focusing on descriptive statistics and the coding proposed by Grounded Theory, this study highlights the lack of incentive for the strategic participation of CPAs – the main quality assurance in Brazilian higher education – on the part of the investigated institutions. The conclusions highlight theoretical and practical contributions, especially by pointing out the critical conditions that can be used by institutions to improve the strategic training.
References
J. Aoun (2020) Institutional Evaluation and Foresight in Higher Education: A Pathway to Excellence. 33(1), 123-140.
D. P. Arruda, L. A. de Melo (2018) Comissão própria de avaliação: Uma análise da relação com a estratégia nas universidades federais brasileiras. 52(5), 804-821.
T. Aven (2011) Risk Management and Scenario Planning: Foresight in Extreme Risk Management. 31(5), 768-778.
C. Bezold (2010) Lessons from using scenarios for strategic foresight. 77(9), 1513-1518.
R. Bradfield, G. Wright, G. Burt, G. Cairns, P. Heugens (2005) A review of scenario planning. 37(7), 795-812.
A. P. Carvalho, A. M. Augusto (2014) A prospectiva estratégica e a construção de cenários em empresas do Brasil. 13(3), 10-21.
M. Cervantes, D. Guellec (2022) Foresight and Institutional Evaluation in Higher Education: A Framework for Strategic Planning. 44(2), 193-210.
L. Cohen, L. Manion, K. Morrison (2018) Research methods in education.
J. W. Creswell, V. L. Plano Clark (2011) Designing and conducting mixed methods research.
J. W. Creswell, J. D. Creswell (2018) Research design: Qualitative, quantitative, and mixed methods approaches.
J. Dator (2009) Alternative futures at the Manoa School. 14(2), 1-18.
N. De Almeida Andrade (2020) Cenários de Foresight Estratégico do setor de telecomunicações 5G: um espectro de oportunidades na Transformação Digital. 11(1), 205-223.
E. A. Eriksson, K. M. Weber (2008) Stakeholder Participation in Policy Development: Observations on the Practice of Foresight. 40(6), 568-581.
A. Fink, O. Schlake (2000) Scenario management—An approach for strategic foresight. 11(1), 37-45.
A. Fink (2005) The future scorecard: Combining external and internal scenarios to create strategic foresight. 43(3), 360-381.
R. García, L. Sanz-Menéndez (2021) Higher Education Foresight and Institutional Evaluation: Exploring the Connections. 166, 120550.
G. Gaskell (1995) The combination of qualitative and quantitative methods in research into children's comprehension of questions. 11(2), 215-230.
J. C. Glenn, T. J. Gordon (2009) Futures research methodology: Version 3.0.
A. Gordon, R. Rohrbeck, J. O. Schwarz (2019) Escaping the “faster horses” trap: Bridging strategic foresight and design-based innovation. 148, 119730.
J. M. Greenblott, et al. (2019) Strategic foresight in the federal government: A survey of methods, resources, and institutional arrangements. 11(3), 245-266.
J. C. Greene, V. J. Caracelli, W. F. Graham (1989) Toward a conceptual framework for mixed-method evaluation designs. 11(3), 255-274.
P. Hadridge (2008) Thinking about the Future: Guidelines for Strategic Foresight. 10(1), 79-80.
A. Hines, P. Bishop, R. A. Slaughter (2015) Thinking about the future: Guidelines for strategic foresight.
A. Hines (2006) Strategic foresight: The state of the art. 40(5), 18.
Y. C. Hsu, U. G. Sandström (2017) A systematic literature review of foresight methods and approaches. 86, 48-56.
R. B. Johnson, A. J. Onwuegbuzie (2004) Mixed methods research: A research paradigm whose time has come. 33(7), 14-26.
M. Keenan, R. Popper (2019) Foresight for Higher Education Institutions: Integrating Institutional Evaluation and Futures Thinking. 112, 102436.
V. M. Lim, J. W. Creswell (2012) A framework for analyzing data in mixed methods research. 6(1), 55-72.
E. Mastio, K. Dovey (2021) Contextual insight as an antecedent to strategic foresight. 128, 102715.
I. Nonaka, H. Takeuchi (1991) The knowledge-creating company. 69(6), 96-104.
J. P. Pinto, J. Medina (2020) Hybrid processes for a new era of strategic foresight. 22(3), 287-307.
Learning from the Future: How to Improve Strategic Foresight through Scenario Planning. 3(9), 1-10.
R. Rohrbeck, M. E. Kum (2018) Foresight and innovation: A systematic literature review. 22(5), 1-41.
R. Rohrbeck, M. E. Kum (2018) The Role of Strategic Foresight in Organizational Transformation: A Multilevel Perspective. 129, 104-117.
J. Salmi, A. Saroyan (2021) Strategic Foresight and Institutional Evaluation in Higher Education: Lessons from International Practice. 75(1), 5-21.
M. B. Santiago, M. L. Soares, C. A. da Silva (2019) A CPA como instrumento para o alinhamento entre gestão estratégica e avaliação institucional em uma universidade pública. 53(3), 471-486.
W. E. Saris, A. Satorra (1992) Alternative models for classified response questions. 22(1), 45-77.
O. Saritas, E. Aydin (2016) Foresight in a networked world: A systematic literature review. 110, 146-161.
J. P. Scoblic (2020) Strategic foresight as dynamic capability: A new lens on Knightian uncertainty.
A. J. Sedlacek, M. F. Lundeberg, H. L. Peters (2016) Mixed Methods Research: A Research Paradigm for the Study of Teaching and Learning. 10(1), 44-61.
R. A. Slaughter (1995) The foresight principle: Cultural recovery in the 21st century.
M. Spaniol, et al. (2019) Five strategic foresight tools to enhance business model innovation teaching. 7(3), 77-88.
A. Strauss, J. Corbin (1998) Basics of Qualitative Research: Techniques and Procedures for Developing Grounded Theory (2nd ed.).
M. Torres, S. Vásquez (2020) Foresight and Institutional Evaluation in Latin American Higher Education: A Comparative Analysis. 45(3), 609-623.
L. Van der Laan (2008) The imperative of strategic foresight to strategic thinking. 13(1), 21-42.
J. Voros (2003) A generic foresight process framework. 5(3), 10-21.
D. Wright, R. Bradfield (2018) Foresight in higher education institutions: Supporting strategic decision-making and institutional evaluation. 127, 185-196.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2024 Authors and Global Journals Private Limited
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
